智能硬件图谱Hardware Startup Graph ↗ Dylan Patel

迪伦·帕特尔Dylan Patel

SemiAnalysis

SemiAnalysis 创始人兼首席分析师Founder & Chief Analyst of SemiAnalysis

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把 SemiAnalysis 从一份通讯做成半导体行业开自家内部会之前先读的刊物:供应链拆解、晶圆厂产能与良率估算、数据中心电力建设,以及各家实验室私下拿来对标的「每 token 成本」模型。真正搅动市场的报道包括泄露的谷歌「我们没有护城河」备忘录、各大实验室 GPU 集群清单,以及他反复论证的一点——决定谁活下来的是推理经济性而不是训练规模。他离原始数字比几乎任何公开分析师都近,所以他的估算往往会变成所有人引用的默认数字。
Built SemiAnalysis from a newsletter into the outlet the semiconductor industry reads before its own internal decks: supply-chain teardowns, fab capacity and yield estimates, datacenter power build-outs, and cost-per-token models that labs quietly benchmark against. Reporting that moved markets includes the Google memo on open-source models, GPU cluster inventories across the major labs, and the running argument that inference economics, not training runs, decide who survives. Sits closer to the raw numbers than almost any public analyst, which is why his estimates keep becoming the default numbers everyone else cites.

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陈立武 Lip-Bu Tan晶圆代工与良率的公开审计者肖恩·利 Sean Lie推理经济性:分析师与晶圆级芯片 ← 返回完整图谱← Back to the graph